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2006 Atlantic hurricane season

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(active)
First system formed1: June 10, 2006
Active systems1: TD Two
Total named storms: 1
Total hurricanes: None yet
Major hurricanes (Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale>Cat. 3+): None yet
Strongest storm: Alberto (70 mph, 995 mbar)
Number of systems making landfall1: 1
Total damages: N/A
Total Accumulated cyclone energy>ACE: 2.51
Confirmed fatalities: 0 direct, 2 indirect
List of Atlantic hurricane seasons>Atlantic hurricane seasons
2004 2005 2006 2007 Post-2007
1Including tropical and subtropical depressions
The 2006 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation. It started June 1, 2006, and will last until November 30, 2006. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin.

One system, Tropical Storm Zeta from the 2005 season, continued through early January. So far, one storm, Tropical Storm Alberto, has formed in the season. It made landfall in the Gulf Coast of northeastern Florida on June 13, causing minimal damage.

Seasonal forecasts

Forecasts of hurricane activity are issued before each hurricane season by noted hurricane experts Philip J. Klotzbach, Dr. William M. Gray, and their associates at Colorado State University; and separately by NOAA forecasters.

Klotzbach's team (formerly led by Dr. Gray) defined the average number of storms per season (1950 to 2000) as 9.6 tropical storms, 5.9 hurricanes, and 2.3 major hurricanes (storms exceeding Category 3 strength in the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). A normal season, as defined by NOAA, has 6 to 14 named storms, with 4 to 8 of those reaching hurricane strength, and 1 to 3 major hurricanes.
Predictions of tropical activity in the 2006 season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
CSU Average (1950–2000) 9.6 5.9 2.3
NOAA Average 6–14 4–8 1–3
Record high activity 28 15 8
Record low activity 4 2 0
CSU 5 December 2005 17 9 5
CSU 4 April 2006 17 9 5
NOAA 22 May 2006 13–16 8–10 4–6
CSU 31 May 2006 17 9 5
Actual activity - - -

Pre-season forecasts

On December 5, 2005, Klotzbach's team issued its first extended-range forecast for the 2006 season, predicting a well above-average season (17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 5 of Category 3 or higher).

Similar to the 2005 season, the team predicted a high potential for at least one major hurricane to directly impact the United States: the forecast indicates an 81% chance of at least one major hurricane striking the U.S. mainland (including a 64% chance of at least one major hurricane strike on the East Coast of the United States including the Florida peninsula, and a 47% chance of at least one major hurricane strike on the Gulf Coast of the United States from the Florida Panhandle westward). In addition, the potential for major hurricane activity in the Caribbean was above average. A few months later, on April 4, 2006, CSU issued another forecast that reaffirmed the forecast previously made in December.

On May 22, 2006, NOAA released their forecasts for the 2006 season. They predict 13 to 16 named storms, with 8 to 10 becoming hurricanes, and 4 to 6 becoming major hurricanes.

On May 31, 2006, Klotzbach's team released their final pre-season forecast for 2006, confirming their previous numbers.

Storms

Tropical Storm Zeta (2005)

Main article: Tropical Storm Zeta (2005)
Tropical Storm Zeta formed on December 30, 2005 and lasted until January 6, 2006. Although it spent some of its existence in 2006, it is officially a storm of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. Had it formed only two days later, it would have become the first storm of the 2006 season and been given the name Alberto.

Tropical Storm Alberto

Tropical Storm Alberto
Duration
Intensity ,
:Main article: Tropical Storm Alberto (2006) On June 10, an area of disturbed weather associated with a broad low pressure area off the coast of Belize organized over the warm waters of the Caribbean Sea and became the first tropical depression of the season. Southwesterly vertical wind shear was a constant companion to this system, but as it moved closer to Florida, the depression strengthened into a tropical storm on the morning of June 11. Passing over the warm deep water of the Loop Current allowed accelerated development, and the cyclone's maximum sustained winds increased to its peak strength of 70 mph, just shy of hurricane strength. Subsequent weakening occurred as it moved over the cooler waters of the continental shelf.

Alberto made landfall midday on June 13, about 50 miles (85 km) southeast of Tallahassee, Florida. Alberto brought a storm surge of five feet to the Big Bend area of the Florida coastline, flooding areas of Cedar Key and Crystal River. The large system was slow to weaken, moving across Georgia and the Carolinas before being downgraded to a tropical depression early on June 14. Alberto became an extratropical storm that morning while quickly moving towards the coast. Ex-Alberto strengthened rapidly offshore New England and the Canadian Maritimes, becoming an oceanic storm by the afternoon of June 15.

Tropical Depression Two

Current storm information

Recent timeline of events

Main article: Timeline of the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season

July

July 18
11 a.m. EDT (1500 UTC) - Tropical Depression Two forms off the North Carolina coast.

2006 storm names

2006 storm names
Alberto    
   
   
   
   
   
   

The names to the right will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2006. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2012 season. The list is the same as the 2000 season's list except for Kirk, which replaced Keith.

While it had been previously reported that a new backup list would be chosen (after it was first used in 2005), the National Hurricane Center reported in its first tropical weather outlook for the season that it would again use names from the Greek alphabet should the main list run out. It would again start with Alpha rather than skipping the six names already used and starting with Eta.

Retirement

Names to be retired, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2007.

See also

Wikinews has news related to:
[[Wikinews:Category:Hurricane season, 2006|Hurricane season, 2006]]
  1. redirect[[Template:Portal]]

References

External links

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