Mexican general election, 2006
Encyclopedia : M : ME : MEX : Mexican general election, 2006
- For other elections in Mexico during 2006, see 2006 Mexican elections
- A new President of the Republic, to serve a six-year term, replacing incumbent Vicente Fox (in Mexico the President cannot run for re-election).
- 500 members (300 by the first-past-the-post system and 200 by proportional representation) to serve for a three-year term in the Chamber of Deputies.
- 128 members (three per state by first-past-the-post and 32 by proportional representation from national party lists) to serve six-year terms in the Senate. In each state, two first-past-the-post seats are allocated to the party with the largest share of the vote, and the remaining seat is given to the first runner-up.
- The election of a new Head of Government and new Legislative Assembly of the Federal District. See: 2006 Mexican Federal District election.
- Gubernatorial elections in the states of Guanajuato, Jalisco and Morelos.
- Municipal and local congressional elections in those three states and in Campeche, Colima, Nuevo León, Querétaro, and Sonora. San Luis Potosí also elected a new local congress.
Presidential election
Competition was fierce, with the National Action Party (PAN) eager to hold on to the presidency for a second period, the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) equally keen to regain the office it lost in the 2000 election for the first time in 71 years (now in coalition with the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico), and the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) (now in coalition with Convergence and the Labor Party) believing itself to have a good chance to win after disappointments in the two previous elections.
Preliminary Results
On 6 July 2006 the Federal Electoral Institute (IFE) announced the final vote count in the 2006 presidential election, resulting in a narrow margin of 0.58 percentage points of victory for Felipe Calderón. However, under Mexican electoral law, only the Federal Electoral Tribunal (TRIFE) can say who will serve as Mexico's next president..[link] The election outcome is still disputed. Furthermore, López Obrador, with his party, allege irregularities in over 30% of the country's polling stations, and has said that he will appeal the results of the election, which he believes was tainted by fraud.
Quick Count
The IFE declared at 11:00 pm on 2 July 2006 that the statistics yielded by the official quick count indicated that the presidential election was too close to call, meaning that the difference between the two front-runners was smaller than their margin of error, or 0.3% of the vote.http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/359521.html The IFE further declared that the official count, which began on Wednesday, 5 July 2006, was to determine which candidate will be recognized as president elect.Nevertheless, front-running presidential candidates Felipe Calderón (PAN) and Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) declared themselves the winners, basing their speeches on a number of private exit-polls, some quoted and some not quoted, that gave a lead within the margin of error. The PAN's chairman, César Nava Vásquez, requested that IFE declare a winner by the night of 3 July 2006.http://www.esmas.com/noticierostelevisa/mexico/548062.html
Preliminary results clearly showed that the PRI-PVEM candidate, Roberto Madrazo, did not have a realistic chance of winning the presidency. It also appears, based on preliminary results, that the smaller parties (Nueva Alianza and Alternativa Socialdemócrata y Campesina) will retain their registration.http://cgi.tvazteca.com/hechos/elecciones2006/elecciones/prep.shtml
The so called "foreign vote", whereby Mexicans abroad were for the first time allowed to vote, albeit solely in the presidential contest, totalled only slightly more than 32,000 voters. The overall turn-out for this election was approximately 59% of the eligible voters.
Preliminary Electoral Results Program
The Preliminary Electoral Results Program (Programa de Resultados Electorales Preliminares, or PREP) is mandated by law to provide a quick estimate of the electoral results, but it has no authority to determine the outcome of the election.
This point was made repeatedly by IFE President Ugalde in his official statements as the 2006 electoral process unfolded. [link] The use of the PREP has been criticized because its data has been used by one candidate to proclaim his victory and by the other as supposed evidence of "fraud". However, the PREP tends to predict the winner accurately when the difference between candidates is more than 1% (a condition not been met in this election).
IFE information coordinator René Miranda dismissed PRD allegations that the changes in PREP's numbers were statistically impropable, saying the PREP was used objectively and impartially to "reflect the reality of the country."
Official count
The official count, conducted manually, began on Wednesday, 5 July and finished a day later.http://www.esmas.com/noticierostelevisa/mexico/547829.html López Obrador has chosen to file a legal challenge against the official result, and so the courts could declare a definitive winner as late as 5 September 2006.
Following the conclusion of the PREP on 4 July, in accordance with the Federal Code of Electoral Procedures and Institutions (COFIPE), official district-based counts began on Wednesday, 5 July 2006 at the district committees of all 300 of the country's congressional districts.
The IFE started tallying the ballots as they were reported by the district committees, and the results evolved as shown in the table below. From the beginning, the IFE said that these results did not mark a tendency and that abrupt changes might occur, and that the only official result would be when 100% of the polling stations had been counted.
The narrowing of the difference between Calderón and López Obrador late in the count was not unexpected as several northern states, which strongly favored the PAN party in the PREP results, were slow in counting all the ballot reports.http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/360427.html http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/360397.html Some districts were delayed as political parties have been taking advantage of their right to double-check the station reports with the ballots.http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/360432.html
At 04:07 Mexico City time on 6 July, Calderón overtook López Obrador in the count, and by 07:45, the difference was approximately 0.33% of the vote, as seen below. This was largely due to later returns coming heavily from PAN strongholds.
At 08:37 on 6 July, López Obrador stated that he and his party will challenge the results of the district count before the the Federal Electoral Tribunal (TEPJF) and demand a recount.http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5150440.stm He also called on his supporters to meet on Saturday, 8 July, at Mexico City's Zócalo square to hear a report on the alleged irregularities detected—including, as reported only by the pro-PRD paper La Jornada, a period of four minutes at around 19:00 when the counts for all candidates appeared to be zero in the screenshttp://elecciones.jornada.com.mx/por-cuatro-minutos-los-candidatos-aparecieron-con-cero-votos-en-pantalla-del-ife—and start what he calls "the defense of the popular vote".http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/360507.html So far, his protests have been kept within the legal channels available to all candidates, but some editorialists, such as Armando Fuentes Aguirre, have voiced concern that this might lead to an armed conflict while others, such as former IFE president José Woldenberg, have said that López Obrador's challenge is well within the law.
It is too soon to say which opinion is correct, but so far both sides have stated that they will keep their actions within legal channels. However, unions and other organizations have stated that they will call to "civil resistance" if the courts decide to ratify Calderón's victory. http://www.elnorte.com/nacional/articulo/653878/ Amagan sindicatos con resistencia civil (requires subscription)
The final vote count, issued by the IFE, showed that Calderón obtained 35.89% (15,000,284 votes), while López Obrador received 35.31% (14,756,350 votes), http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/noticias.html http://www.eleconomista.com.mx/articulos/2006-07-06-15296 http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2006/07/07/003n1pol.php that is 243,934 votes (or 0.58%) short of the winner.
Election monitors from the European Union stated on 8 July that they found no irregularities that could have affected the transparency of the results and that could have impacted the results.[EU says disputed Mexico vote fair] BBC News Earlier media reports had indicated that in two separate incidents, one in Ciudad Nezahualcóyotl and one in Xalapa, used ballots and other electoral materials were found in rubbish dumps.[Encuentran actas electorales en basurero de Veracruz] El Universal[Hallan papelería electoral en basurero de bordo de Xochiaca] El Universal[Encuentran papelería electoral en basurero de Neza] El Economista Reforma later reported that this supposed electoral material was found to be photocopies and did not influence the election.
| Time (CDT) | Polling stations counted |  Calderón Hinojosa |  López Obrador |
Madrazo Pintado | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:02 | 25.38% | 34.39% | 36.98% | 22.03% | [link] |
| 13:00 | 35.95% | 34.36% | 37.06% | [link] | |
| 13:33 | 40.05% | 34.41% | 36.99% | 21.99% | [link] |
| 14:33 | 50.16% | 34.39% | 37.15% | 21.88% | [link] |
| 15:06 | 54.92% | 34.56% | 37.11% | 21.77% | [link] |
| 15:42 | 60.07% | 34.56% | 37.09% | ||
| 16:01 | 62.61% | 34.53% | 37.09% | ||
| 16:13 | 64.34% | 34.56% | 36.98% | 21.92% | [link] |
| 16:29 | 65.68% | 34.60% | 36.91% | 21.94% | [link] |
| 17:02 | 69.01% | 34.64% | 36.81% | 21.98% | [link] |
| 17:31 | 71.46% | 34.56% | 36.87% | 22.02% | [link] |
| 17:39 | 72.86% | 34.55% | 36.86% | 22.03% | [link] |
| 17:51 | 73.58% | 34.57% | 36.85% | 22.02% | [link] |
| 18:04 | 74.68% | 34.60% | 36.81% | 22.03% | [link] |
| 18:12 | 75.08% | 34.62% | 36.78% | 22.05% | [link] |
| 18:25 | 76.46% | 34.62% | 36.76% | 22.07% | [link] |
| 18:42 | 77.93% | 34.63% | 36.73% | 22.09% | [link] |
| 18:57 | 79.21% | 34.65% | 36.71% | 22.10% | [link] |
| 19:09 | 80.12% | 34.67% | 36.69% | 22.11% | [link] |
| 19:22 | 81.04% | 34.68% | 36.65% | 22.12% | [link] |
| 19:43 | 82.46% | 34.71% | 36.60% | 22.15% | [link] |
| 19:56 | 83.53% | 34.73% | 36.55% | 22.18% | [link] |
| 20:11 | 84.13% | 34.74% | 36.52% | 22.19% | [link] |
| 20:24 | 84.84% | 34.74% | 36.51% | 22.20% | [link] |
| 20:32 | 85.34% | 34.77% | 36.49% | 22.20% | [link] |
| 20:46 | 85.98% | 34.79% | 36.47% | 22.19% | [link] |
| 21:00 | 86.19% | 34.81% | 36.46% | [link] | |
| 21:20 | 87.05% | 34.85% | 36.44% | [link] | |
| 21:47 | 88.40% | 34.96% | 36.33% | [link] | |
| 23:03 | 91.71% | 35.09% | 36.15% | 22.22% | [link] |
| 23:10 | 91.86% | 35.10% | 36.14% | [link] | |
| 23:23 | 92.45% | 35.13% | 36.09% | 22.23% | [link] |
| 23:28 | 92.57% | 35.14% | 36.08% | 22.23% | [link] |
| 23:35 | 92.83% | 35.16% | 36.06% | 22.24% | [link] |
| 23:45 | 93.10% | 35.17% | 36.05% | 22.24% | [link] |
| 23:50 | 93.20% | 35.17% | 36.03% | 22.24% | [link] |
| 23:54 | 93.32% | 35.18% | 36.03% | 22.25% | [link] |
| 00:00 | 93.44% | 35.21% | 36.00% | 22.25% | [link] |
| 00:05 | 93.57% | 35.22% | 35.99% | 22.25% | [link] |
| 00:10 | 93.77% | 35.22% | 35.99% | 22.25% | [link] |
| 00:20 | 94.09% | 35.24% | 35.97% | 22.25% | [link] |
| 00:30 | 94.32% | 35.26% | 35.95% | 22.25% | [link] |
| 00:45 | 94.61% | 35.28% | 35.92% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 00:50 | 94.69% | 35.29% | 35.91% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 01:00 | 94.76% | 35.30% | 35.90% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 01:10 | 94.92% | 35.32% | 35.88% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 01:15 | 95.06% | 35.32% | 35.87% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 01:20 | 95.17% | 35.33% | 35.86% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 01:25 | 95.40% | 35.34% | 35.85% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 01:30 | 95.48% | 35.35% | 35.84% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 01:40 | 95.64% | 35.37% | 35.82% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 01:45 | 95.72% | 35.37% | 35.81% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 01:55 | 95.79% | 35.39% | 35.80% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 02:00 | 95.93% | 35.40% | 35.79% | 22.28% | [link] |
| 02:05 | 96.08% | 35.41% | 35.77% | 22.28% | [link] |
| 02:10 | 96.20% | 35.42% | 35.76% | 22.28% | [link] |
| 02:20 | 96.36% | 35.44% | 35.75% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 02:28 | 96.42% | 35.45% | 35.74% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 02:35 | 96.48% | 35.45% | 35.73% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 02:40 | 96.54% | 35.46% | 35.73% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 02:50 | 96.85% | 35.49% | 35.70% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 03:00 | 96.89% | 35.49% | 35.70% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 03:10 | 97.03% | 35.51% | 35.68% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 03:15 | 97.08% | 35.52% | 35.67% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 03:25 | 97.19% | 35.54% | 35.66% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 03:30 | 97.19% | 35.55% | 35.65% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 03:40 | 97.37% | 35.56% | 35.63% | 22.26% | [link] |
| 03:42 | 97.44% | 35.57% | 35.62% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 03:55 | 97.51% | 35.58% | 35.61% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 04:00 | 97.58% | 35.59% | 35.61% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 04:07 | 97.70% | 35.60% | 35.59% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 04:15 | 97.84% | 35.62% | 35.57% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 04:25 | 97.92% | 35.63% | 35.56% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 04:45 | 98.05% | 35.65% | 35.54% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 05:00 | 98.18% | 35.66% | 35.53% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 05:25 | 98.41% | 35.68% | 35.51% | 22.28% | [link] |
| 06:22 | 98.91% | 35.74% | 35.44% | [link] | |
| 06:56 | 99.02% | 35.76% | 35.43% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 07:48 | 99.21% | 35.77% | 35.42% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 08:23 | 99.31% | 35.79% | 35.40% | [link] | |
| 08:31 | 99.36% | 35.80% | 35.39% | [link] | |
| 09:56 | 99.56% | 35.82% | 35.37% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 10:45 | 99.64% | 35.84% | 35.35% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 11:27 | 99.73% | 35.85% | 35.34% | [link] | |
| 12:59 | 99.94% | 35.87% | 35.32% | 22.27% | [link] |
| 14:00 | 99.98% | 35.88% | 35.31% | [link] | |
| 15:10 | 100.0% | 35.89% | 35.31% | 22.26% | [link] |
Presidential candidates
There were five registered candidates for the 2006 presidential election:| Party/Alliance | Candidate | Slogan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| National Action Party
| 
| Felipe Calderón | Para que vivamos mejor "So we can live better" |
|
| Alliance for the Good of All (PRD, PT, Convergence) | 
| Andrés Manuel López Obrador | Por el bien de todos, primero los pobres "For the good of all, first the poor" |
|
| Alliance for Mexico (PRI, PVEM)
| 
| Roberto Madrazo | Mover a México para que las cosas se hagan "Moving Mexico to get things done" |
| New Alliance Party
| 
| Roberto Campa Cifrián
| Uno de tres "One out of three" |
| Social Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party
| 
| Patricia Mercado Castro
| Palabra de mujer "A woman's word" |
A non-registered candidate, Víctor González Torres (nicknamed "Dr. Simi" after the mascot of his national drugstore franchise) made a massive marketing campaign to enter the election, in spite of not being registered as an official candidate, and ran as a write-in candidate. His franchise slogan is "The same only cheaper", but his campaign one is "To serve God and the people of Mexico". Ironically, he has frequently stressed the fact that he pays all of his own campaign expenses, thus being the "cheapest" candidate. He was not considered a formal candidate but many press sources still publish his sayings and complaints against IFE, while some sources consider him a sort of "comic relief".
Summary
Official ResultsPreliminary
Polls
Opinion polls in the run-up to the election showed López Obrador and Calderón neck and neck. The last three polls conducted before the polling blackout that begins eight days before the election all showed López Obrador's and Calderón's shares of the vote well within the margins of error. Both Reforma and El Universal newspapers, considered by many to be Mexico City's most influential, both gave López Obrador a two point edge over Calderón.The candidates of the smaller parties also gained ground at the expense of Roberto Madrazo and López Obrador. The last poll from El Universal showed Patricia Mercado of Social Democratic and Farmer Alternative had gained enough support for her party to retain its registry. In the latest Zogby poll, Madrazo, however, trailed the leader Calderón by only 8 points and was only 4 points behind López Obrador.
Averaging the last ten polls conducted before the polling blackout (between 20 June and 23 June), López Obrador edged out Calderón by a razor-thin half percentage point with 35.1%. Calderón had 34.6% and Madrazo came in third with 26%.
| Date | Publisher | Source | López Obrador | Calderón | Madrazo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2006 | Reforma | [link] | 36% | 34% | 25% |
| June 23, 2006 | El Universal | [link] | 36% | 34% | 26% |
| June 23, 2006 | Ulises Beltran y Asociados | [link] | 34% | 34% | 26% |
| June 22, 2006 | Milenio | [link] | 35.4% | 30.5% | 29.6% |
| June 22, 2006 | GEA-ISA | [link] | 36% | 41% | 21% |
| June 22, 2006 | Alducin y Asociados | [link] | 34% | 38% | 24% |
| June 22, 2006 | Consulta Mitofsky | [link] | 36% | 33% | 27% |
| June 21, 2006 | Indermerc | [link] | 33% | 32% | 28% |
| June 21, 2006 | Marketing Político | [link] | 34% | 37% | 26% |
| June 20, 2006 | Parametría | [link] | 36.5% | 32.5% | 27% |
| June 19, 2006 | Zogby | [link] | 31% | 35% | 27% |
| June 14, 2006 | Reforma | [link] | 37% | 35% | 23% |
| June 13, 2006 | Milenio | [link] | 34.2% | 31% | 29.6% |
| June 13, 2006 | Consulta Mitofsky | [link] | 35% | 32% | 28% |
| June 12, 2006 | El Universal | [link] | 34% | 37% | 22% |
| June 11, 2006 | GEA-ISA | [link] | 35% | 39% | 23% |
| June 6, 2006 | El Universal | [link] | 36% | 36% | 24% |
| June 6, 2006 | Parametría | [link] | 35.5% | 34.4% | 27% |
| June 5, 2006 | BGC, Beltrán y Asociados | [link] | 35% | 35% | 26% |
| May 29, 2006 | Milenio | [link] | 33% | 33% | 30% |
| May 29, 2006 | Consulta Mitofsky | [link] | 34% | 34% | 28% |
| May 28, 2006 | GEA-ISA | [link] | 31% | 40% | 27% |
| May 24, 2006 | Reforma | 35% | 39% | 22% | |
| May 19, 2006 | Zogby | [link] | 29% | 34% | 22% |
| May 15, 2006 | El Universal | [link] | 35% | 39% | 21% |
| May 8, 2006 | Parametría | [link] | 34% | 36% | 26% |
| May 4, 2006 | GEA-ISA | [link] | 31% | 41% | 25% |
| May 3, 2006 | Consulta Mitofsky | 34% | 35% | 27% | |
| May 3, 2006 | Reforma | 33% | 40% | 22% | |
| May 2, 2006 | Milenio | [link] | 33% | 36% | 28% |
| April 23, 2006 | Parametría | [link] | 35% | 33% | 28% |
| April 17, 2006 | El Universal | [link] | 38% | 34% | 25% |
| April 6, 2006 | Milenio | 34% | 31% | 31% | |
| April 6, 2006 | Arcop* | 33% | 36% | 29% | |
| March 27, 2006 | Consulta Mitofsky | 37.5% | 30.6% | 28.8% | |
| March 27, 2006 | BIMSA | 31.2% | 25.5% | 21.4% | |
| March 21, 2006 | GEA-ISA | 34% | 36% | 28% | |
| March 16, 2006 | Reforma | 41% | 31% | 25% | |
| March 13, 2006 | El Universal | 42% | 32% | 24% | |
| February 22, 2006 | Consulta Mitofsky | [link] | 39.4% | 29.8% | 27.5% |
| February 21, 2006 | GEA-ISA |
[link]
| 34% | 27% | 22% |
| February 21, 2006 | Reforma | [link] | 38% | 31% | 29% |
| February 20, 2006 | El Universal | [link] | 30% | 27% | 22% |
| January 23, 2006 | GEA-ISA |
[link]
| 35% | 35% | 29% |
| January 26, 2006 | El Universal | [link] | 33% | 27% | 20% |
| January 20, 2006 | Parametria | [link] | 35.7% | 27.4% | 26.2% |
| January 20, 2006 | TV Azteca | [link] | 38% | 31% | 28% |
| January 19, 2006 | Reforma | [link] | 34% | 26% | 22% |
| January 19, 2006 | La Jornada * | [link] | 39% | 27% | 22% |
| January 18, 2006 | Consulta Mitofsky | [link] | 38.7% | 31% | 29.2% |
| January 8, 2006 | Milenio * | [link] | 28% | 30% | 25% |
| December 5, 2005 | Univision.com | [link] | 34.8% | 28.8% | 30.4% |
| November 21, 2005 | Reforma | [link] | 29% | 28% | 21% |
| November 5, 2005 | El Universal | [link] | 34% | 22% | 18% |
| Date | Publisher | Source | López Obrador | Calderón | Madrazo |
* Polls conducted by Arcop (published in Milenio and showed the first lead of Calderón over López Obrador) and Covarrubias (published in La Jornada, and the one that showed the highest lead of López Obrador) are internal polls, and generally not as reliable as the others.
Assets, liabilities and annual expenses
As of January 2005, only three candidates had made a public declaration of assets, liabilities and annual expenses. These figures were given in pesos, the total value of assets of each candidate follows at an exchange rate of 10.62 pesos to one United States dollar (Source: [Banamex]):| Candidate | Assets | Liabilities | Annual Expenses''' | As of (Date) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| López Obrador | MX$ 1,295,358 / US$ 121,973 | 0 | MX$ 1,165,650 / US$ 109,760 | June 3, 2004 | |
| Calderón | MX$ 8,803,885 / US$ 828,991 | – | – | January 19, 2006 | |
| Madrazo | MX$ 29,398,668 / US$ 2,768,236 | MX$ 39,290 / US$ 2,758 | MX$ 475,000 / US$ 44,727 | January 19, 2006 |
Presidential debates
A first presidential debate was held on 25 April 2006 with the presence of all candidates with the notable exception of López Obrador. López Obrador had refused to participate in all debates, and said he would only participate in one since long before the first debate was scheduled. The rest of the candidates agreed on leaving an empty chair to symbolize that the fifth candidate was indeed invited.The silla vacía (spanish for "empty chair") became the topic of political commentary shows and the press. Excélsior called the empty chair a "double-edged sword"[La silla vacía puede ser arma de dos filos] ("Empty chair can be a double-edged sword" 4 April 2006 Excélsior. Retrieved on 6 May 2006. coinciding with other publications and TV shows that leaving the empty chair could be construed as an insult to the audience and an attack to López Obrador. However, by the date of the debates, the statistical tendency in many polls had confirmed Calderón at the second spot and López Obrador still with a single digit advantage over him.
After the first debate some political commentators, media outlets, and polls indicated that Calderón[Dan como ganador del debate a Calderón] ("Calderón seen as the winner of debate" 27 April 2006 Prensa Latina. Retrieved on 6 May, 2006. was seen as the winner of the debate, Mercado as the pleasant surprise of the night.[Gana Calderón; Mercado sorprende; pierde López ] ("Calderón wins, Mercado surprises, López loses" April 26, 2006 La Crónica. Retrieved on 6 May 2006. and a nervous Madrazo as the worst performer of the night.[La opinión de Excélsior en torno al debate] ("What Excélsior thinks in regards to the debate" April 26, 2006 Excélsior. Retrieved on 6 May 2006. However, political analysts also said that the debate was unnecessarily full of promises and personal attacks. Analysts considered that López Obrador was negatively affected by his absence and polls later confirmed Calderón having replaced López Obrador as the leading candidate.
A second debate took place on 6 June of the same year, from 20:30 to 22:30,[Confirma Madrazo participación en segundo debate] ("Madrazo Confirms Participation in Second Debate") 23 May, 2006 El Universal. Retrieved on 2 June, 2006. Central Time, with the confirmed presence of all candidates, including López Obrador. Media outlets have given results to telephone polls applied post-debate showing a mixed tendency. Most, like Reforma and Presente, give Felipe Calderón the lead, but a few, like Diario Monitor, give it to Andrés Manuel López Obrador.
However, the rise of López Obrador in voter preference polls since the debate seems to indicate that it was the PRD candidate who won it. One of the main causes for this victory may have been the Hildebrando accusation that López Obrador made during the debate.
Before the debate, Carlos Ahumada's wife threatened to release tapes involving allies of López Obrador in suspected acts of corruption, but the release was cancelled due to an attempted murder which is still under investigation. (See: Videoscandals)["Shooting adds twist to Mexican elections"]. Retrieved 11 June 2006..
Congressional Election
Eight political parties will participate in the 2006 congressional election to renew all seats in the upper and lower houses of the Mexican Congress.In the current session of Congress, no party holds a majority.
Preliminary results below are as of 3 July 6:41 UTC.
Chamber of Deputies
Summary
Comparison
| Party | LIX Legislature, 2003 | LIX Leg. at dissolution | LX Legislature, 2006 | Change, 2003-2006 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deputies | % of Chamber | % of Vote | Deputies | % of Chamber | Deputies | % of Chamber | % of Vote | Deputies | % of Chamber | % of Vote | ||
| 149 | 29.8% | 23.1% | 148 | 29.6% | 206 | 41.6% | 33.7% | + 57 | + 11.8% | + 10.8% | ||
| 97 | 19.0% | 17.6% | 97 | 19.4% | (160)PREP figures give Congressional totals by alliance, not party. PRD totals here thus include Labor and Convergence votes as well | (31.8%) | (29.0%) | (+ 63) | (+ 10.6%) | |||
| 224 | 44.8% | 30.6% | 203 | 40.6% | (121)PREP figures give Congressional totals by alliance, not party. PRI totals here thus include Green votes as well | (23.8%) | (27.6%) | (- 103) | (- 24.4%) | |||
| - | - | - | - | - | 10 | 2.0% | 4.7% | + 10 | + 2.0% | + 4.7% | ||
| - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 0.8% | 2.2% | + 4 | + 0.8% | + 2.2% | ||
| 17 | 3.4% | 4.0% | 17 | 3.4% | (n/a) | (n/a) | ||||||
| 6 | 1.2% | 2.4% | 6 | 1.2% | (n/a) | (n/a) | ||||||
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5 | 1.0% | (n/a) | (n/a) | ||||||
| Independent | 2 | 0.4% | 24 | 4.8% | ||||||||
| Total | 500 | 100 | 100 | 500 | 100 | 500 | 100 | 100 | ||||
Senate
Summary
Comparison
| Party | LVIII Legislature, 2000 | LIX Leg. at dissolution | LX Legislature, 2006 | Change, 2000-2006 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators | % of Chamber | % of Vote | Senators | % of Chamber | Senators | % of Chamber | % of Vote | Senators | % of Chamber | % of Vote | ||
| 46 | 35.9% | † | 47 | 36.7% | 52 | 40.6% | 34.1% | + 6 | + 4.7% | - 1.8% | ||
| 15 | 11.7% | † | 15 | 11.7% | (36) | (28.1%) | (29.8%) | (+ 19) | (+ 14.8%) | |||
| 60 | 46.9% | 36.7% | 58 | 45.3% | (38) | (29.7%) | (27.4%) | (- 27) | (- 21.1%) | |||
| - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 0.8% | 4.2% | + 1 | + 0.8% | + 4.2% | ||
| - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 0.8% | 2.0% | + 1 | + 0.8% | + 2.0% | ||
| 5 | 3.9% | † | 5 | 3.9% | (n/a) | (n/a) | ||||||
| 1* | 0.8% | † | 1* | 0.8% | (n/a) | (n/a) | ||||||
| 1* | 0.8% | † | 1* | 0.8% | (n/a) | (n/a) | ||||||
| Independent | 0 | 0.0% | 1* | 0.8% | ||||||||
| Total | 128 | 100 | 100 | 128 | 100 | 128 | 100 | 100 | ||||
* - Non-attached members- † - Ran as part of slate.
See also
Footnotes
External links
- () [2006 presidential election polls] "Opina Mexico" is a non-profit website sponsored by the Mexican polling industry with the purpose of concentrating survey results as they are published.
- [Mexico's Presidential Election: Background on Economic Issues] Report by the Center for Economic and Policy Research, June 2006.
- Wrong way elections [table] at the [Center for Range Voting]
- [What’s at stake in Mexico’s election?] Socialist Worker
- [Preliminary election results], this is a constantly updated count of actual ballots as they are tallied into the electoral system. Not a survey, these are actual results.
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