Opinion polling for the 2004 Canadian election

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Note: the Bloc Québécois runs candidates only in Québec, so its Canada-wide poll percentage is not very meaningful. Therefore the relevant poll numbers isolated for Québec only are also shown, if available.

SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-25) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Liberals 34% (-7), Conservatives 30% (+2), NDP 20% (+2), BQ 12% (+3), Green 4% (+1)
Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-25): Liberal 32%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 6%
SES Research regional breakdown (2004-June-24) (earlier results at [link])
* Atlantic: Liberals 45%, NDP 25%, Conservatives 24%, Green 4%, BQ 2%
* Quebec: BQ 51%, Liberals 28%, Conservatives 11%, NDP 7%, Green 3%
* Ontario: Liberals 39%, Conservatives 32%, NDP 25%, Green 4%, BQ 1%
* Manitoba and Saskatchewan: Liberals 39%, Conservatives 34%, NDP 24%, Green 2%, BQ 1%
* Alberta: Conservatives 62%, Liberals 23%, NDP 13%, Green 2%
* British Columbia: Conservatives 38%, Liberals 28%, NDP 28%, Green 6%
SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-18) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Liberals 34% (-7), Conservatives 29% (+1), NDP 22% (+4), BQ 10% (+1), Green 5% (+2)
SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-16) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Conservatives 34% (+6), Liberals 32% (-9), NDP 19% (+1), BQ 12% (+1), Green 3% (0)
Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-15): Liberal 31%, Conservative 32%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 6%
SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-7) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Conservatives 34% (+6), Liberals 32% (-9), NDP 20% (+2), BQ 11% (0), Green 4% (+1)
Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-4): Liberal 32%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 11%, Green 6%
*Quebec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 28%
*Ontario only: Conservative 35%, Liberal 32%, NDP 23% (first poll showing Conservatives in front in Ontario since 1985)
Leger Marketing poll (2004-June-2): Liberal 35%, Conservative 30%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 5%
Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-31): Liberal 34%, Conservative 30%, NDP 16%, BQ 12%
*Quebec only: BQ 44%, Liberal 29%
*Ontario only: Liberal 36%, Conservative 36%
Ekos poll (2004-May-30): Liberal 38%, Conservative 30%, NDP 18%, BQ 11%
Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-22): Liberal 35%, Conservative 26%, NDP 18%, BQ 12%
*Quebec only: BQ 50%, Liberal 28%, NDP 8%, Conservative 7%
COMPAS poll (2004-May-15 to 2004-May-19): Liberal 39%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 11%
*Québec only: BQ 43%, Liberal 40%, NDP 9%, Conservative 7%
Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-7): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 16%, BQ 10%
*Québec only: BQ 41%, Liberal 36%
Leger Marketing poll (2004-Apr-28): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 4%
*Québec only [link]: BQ 46%, Liberal 34%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%, Green 3%
Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-Apr-26 –Apr-28) Liberal 40%, Conservative 23%, NDP 18%, BQ 11%, Green 5%
*Québec only: BQ 46%, Liberal 33%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%
Environics poll (2004-Mar-29 – 2004-Apr-18): Liberal 39%, Conservative 29%, NDP 19%, BQ 11%
*Québec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 37%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%
Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-Apr-06 – 2004-Apr-08): Liberal 35%, Conservative 28%, NDP 18%, BQ 10%, Green 5%
*Québec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 30%, Conservative 11%, NDP 10%
Leger Marketing poll (2004-Mar-28): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 16%, BQ 13%
*Québec only [link]: BQ 45%, Liberal 36%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%

Source: http://www.canadawebpages.com/pc-polls.asp

[Excel 2000 file of poll information, and the above graph]

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