Opinion polling in the 40th Canadian federal election
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On January 23rd, 2006, more than 65% of eligible Canadian voters went to the polls to cast their vote in the Canada's 39th General Federal Election. The Conservatives received the most votes, with 36% of the vote and 124 seats (now 125 from the switch of Liberal MP David Emerson). The Liberals won 103 seats (now 102), taking 30% of the vote. The Bloc Quebecois lost 3 seats, and stands at 51 seats with 11% of the vote. The New Democratic Party retained all their previous seats, in addition to 10 more, making their total 29 seats, with 18% of the vote. The green party received 5% of the vote, a minimal increase from the previous election, but this did not translate into any seats. Other parties constituted 1% of the total vote.
Canadians next chance to go to the polls will be Canada's 40th Federal Election, widely anticipated to take place in either 2007 or 2008. However, in the absence of the Government falling on a confidence motion thus triggering an election, Stephen Harper's Government could formally last until winter 2010.
The dates listed are normally the date the survey was concluded. Most news and political affairs sources use the convention of using the last date that the poll was conducted in order to establish the inclusion/exclusion of current events.
{|class="wikitable" |- style="background-color:#E9E9E9" !width=20%|Polling Firm !width=15%|Date !width=7%|Link |bgcolor="lightcoral"| Liberal |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| Conservative |bgcolor="sandybrown"| NDP |bgcolor="lightskyblue"| BQ |bgcolor="yellowgreen"| Green |- |Decima Research||May 28|| [HTML] ||29||38||21||08||- |- |Ipsos-Reid||May 18|| [HTML] ||25||43||15||09||05 |- |SES Research||May 09|| [HTML] ||28||38||19||09||06 |- |Leger Marketing||May 07|| [HTML] ||30||40||13||09||07 |- |Decima Research||May 07|| [HTML] ||29||41||16||10||- |- |Strategic Counsel||May 03|| [HTML] ||31||35||14||10||09 |- |Decima Research||April 23|| [HTML] ||26||41||19||10||- |- |Strategic Counsel||April 09|| [HTML] ||29||39||14||11||07 |- |Environics Research||March 31|| [HTML] ||22||41||21||10||05 |- |Ipsos-Reid||March 23|| [HTML] ||28||38||19||09||05 |- |Decima Research||March 13|| [HTML] ||28||37||19||10||- |- |Ipsos-Reid||February 16|| [HTML] ||27||39||20||08||05 |- |Strategic Counsel||February 21||[HTML]||39||28||19||8||- |- |Decima Research||February 13|| [PDF] ||25||35||24||08||- |- |SES Research||February 09|| [HTML] ||34||33||18||09||07 |- |Election 2006||January 232006||[HTML]||30.2||36.3||17.5||10.5||4.5
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